Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.999998 3.323630 3.673548 4.080980 4.543564 5.053843 5.661255
2025-05-18 2.531222 2.966014 3.468804 4.096935 4.865806 5.782906 6.969495
2025-05-25 2.169325 2.644802 3.221684 3.980320 4.962379 6.205460 7.921711
2025-06-01 1.936814 2.437277 3.068375 3.933821 5.107371 6.669196 8.949429
2025-06-08 1.764781 2.280823 2.953220 3.909080 5.258659 7.136034 10.018046
2025-06-15 1.680267 2.226578 2.960728 4.040805 5.626400 7.929703 11.646506
2025-06-22 1.561476 2.112565 2.872457 4.023219 5.769672 8.403252 12.842946
2025-06-29 1.452667 2.001916 2.776870 3.981392 5.865479 8.805837 13.968652
2025-07-06 1.314346 1.837901 2.590201 3.784123 5.697691 8.768739 14.345022
2025-07-13 1.249955 1.776514 2.548734 3.803383 5.870719 9.296632 15.764098
2025-07-20 1.205184 1.740466 2.541445 3.873538 6.130214 9.993200 17.582425
2025-07-27 1.162667 1.704376 2.530462 3.934997 6.378246 10.693462 19.507576
2025-08-03 1.115668 1.659543 2.504453 3.972650 6.594793 11.373671 21.528735
2025-08-10 1.069973 1.613748 2.473531 3.999068 6.793726 12.045136 23.648157
2025-08-17 1.001080 1.526352 2.368498 3.887668 6.727690 12.197324 24.672389
2025-08-24 0.950885 1.466217 2.304422 3.842794 6.780582 12.587684 26.289411
2025-08-31 0.908582 1.416513 2.254460 3.818796 6.870054 13.060812 28.178307
2025-09-07 0.895594 1.414856 2.286229 3.946895 7.270755 14.234526 31.983116
2025-09-14 0.859513 1.371784 2.242841 3.929797 7.375286 14.779356 34.307399
2025-09-21 0.822320 1.324741 2.189456 3.889127 7.426344 15.209865 36.413112
2025-09-28 0.764831 1.239567 2.063045 3.697280 7.140136 14.834573 36.247496
2025-10-05 0.742061 1.214340 2.043925 3.716013 7.309167 15.545698 39.287689
2025-10-12 0.727581 1.203005 2.049443 3.784244 7.593151 16.569444 43.469216